Elder’s Triple Screen Strategy

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Dr. Elders describes the Triple Screen System in his book “Trading for Living.” This system gained popularity among professional and beginners. The system relies on cornerstone truth, that trader’s mind often time-bounded, so the one cannot see the whole market picture. Many traders, while getting signals on low time-frame does not even realize, that they are trading against the market, which, according to Elder is the most dangerous mistake.

Concept of Triple Screen

Three Screens concept consists of three phases: Tide – use higher-period screen to determine current trend; Wave – use middle-period screen to determine signal; Entry – lower period to determine the exact entry point for the trade. Each screen uses suitable for its purpose indicators. There is no particular rule for the timeframes distribution for three screens. However, we picked popular among trader’s variations:

  • Intraday Trading:
    • Entry Screen – 15 min chart
    • Wave – 1 Hour chart
    • Market Tide – 4 Hours Chart
  • Long-term Trading:
    • Market Entry – 4 Hours
    • Wave Screen – 1 Day
    • Market Tide – 1 Week
  • Scalping:
    • Market Entry – 1 min
    • Wave Screen – 15 min
    • Tide Screen – 1 Hour

Higher period screen (Tide) uses Moving Average or MACD indicator to determine current trend direction. In classical strategy Elder used only Moving Average, but, over time, many have also started using MACD to filter overbought/oversold periods. In this article, we will describe a classical version of the strategy.

Wave or Middle period screen is suited with Stochastic Oscillator to determine rebounds; one should consider only signals in Trend direction.

Entry (Lower period) screen uses crossings of the price and short MA to determine entry points. While working on the Entry screen traders consider only signals in determined by previous screens direction.

Elder's Triple Screen

Setup

Open three trading screens of one Asset with the periods, mentioned above.

Entry Screen – Install Exponential Moving Average with period 9 (EMA(9))

Wave Screen – Install Stochastic with period 5 and k period 3 (Stochastic (5, 3, 3))

Tide Screen – Install MA with period 48(MA(48))

Entry rules

Entry rules go from the Higher period screen (Tide Screen) to Lower period:

  • Determine trend direction on the Tide Screen. If Price is above MA – Uptrend, If Price is lower than MA – Downtrend. Some traders prefer to use MACD instead of MA.
  • Determine trade signal with the help of stochastic on the Wave screen. Consider, that during Uptrend we only interested in Buy signals and during Downtrend we only seek for Sell signals:
    1. Buy signal: Stochastic lower than 20 level and crosses signal line from bottom to top.
    2. Sell signal: Stochastic higher than 80 and crosses signal line from top to bottom.
  • When there are active Sell or Buy signal, the trader needs to concentrate attention on the Entry screen and determine correct entry point in the direction of the given signal. A soon as entry signal appears trader should open the trade:
    1. Buy Entry – crossing of the EMA by the Price from bottom to top
    2. Sell Entry – crossing of the EMA by the Price from bottom-top

Elder's Triple Screen Buy

Sliding order for the Entry Screen

Classic strategy by Elder uses slightly different approach for the Entry screen. When Signal are determined trader follow the Sliding Order approach, using the lowest period screen (Entry screen):

  • For Buy Signal: Place Buy Stop order slightly above High of the previous candle. If price does not trigger this trade during the current bar, move Buy Stop on the next High
  • Sell Signal: Place Sell stop under the low of the previous bar. If the price did not trigger the order and next candle has opened – move the order to the next Low.

Such approach allows to catch impulse moves of the price and avoid stagnating periods.

If entry signal does not appear during the Signal from the Wave screen or even during the Uptrend state of the Tide Screen trader should cancel or Pending Orders and wait for another signal.

Exit rules

The strategy allows several exit rules. There are three main types exit rules: exit by Stop Loss, exit by Taking Profit and Early Exit rules.

Stop Loss

Usually, Stop-Loss set with the help of the Entry Screen. Nevertheless, the trader can regulate the risk by switching Stop Loss rules among the three screens. These rules are listed for the Buy signal, for the Sell signal rules should be vice versa.

  • Low Risk SL – Locate Stop Loss under the low of the previous bar.
  • High Risk – Set Stop Loss under the Moving Average on the Tide Screen

 

Take Profit

Take Profit is the desired level of profit and must correlate with Stop Loss level. There are several ways to determine Take Profit (Rules for the Buy Order):

  • Current price + k*StopLoss (k between 1.5 and 3)
  • Local Price peak. Determined on the Wave screen

 

Early exit rules

There are two Early Exit rules for Elders Momentum strategy: exit by the Wave Screen and Exit by the Entry Screen.

  • Wave screen rule: exit the Buy trade when the opposite direction signal appears
  • Entry screen exit: fix the profit of the Buy order, when the Sell signal appears (either price crosses EMA, or reaches Low level of the previous bar)

Examples

Elder's Triple Screen Sell

Here is the example of the Short trade on the Long-Term combination of the screens.  Downtrend detected on the Weekly Screen. Stochastic gives Sell signal on the Daily (Wave) screen. On the Entry, screen trader uses Sliding Order technique to enter the trade. Early exit made by the crossing rule on the Entry screen.

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